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Date: Tue, 16 Jun 98 01:45:25 CDT
From: Suzanne Wilson <santafe@ux6.cso.uiuc.edu>
Subject: Weekly Americas News Update #436, 6/7/98
Article: 36954
To: undisclosed-recipients:;
Message-ID: <bulk.22714.19980623181534@chumbly.math.missouri.edu>

---------- Forwarded message ----------
Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 19:46:11 -0700 (PDT)
From: Weekly News Update <wnu@igc.apc.org>
To: David L. Wilson <nicadlw@earthlink.net>
Subject: Weekly News Update #436, 6/7/98

Cardoso drops

El Nuevo Herald (Miami), AFP, 7 June 1998

Three voter preference polls released in Brazil on June 6 show a continuing slide by current president Fernando Henrique Cardoso, and a corresponding increase by challenger Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva of the Workers Party (PT). A poll by Ibope showed Cardoso ahead of Lula by five points, 33% to 28%; Vox Populi showed the candidates only one point apart (31% to 30%); while the Gerp Institute showed them even with 28% apiece. The Ibope poll showed Cardoso winning a hypothetical second round 45% to 38%. Cardoso was far ahead at the beginning of the year, but a slew of problems has dragged his popularity downward [see Update #435]. In response, Cardoso's camp has resorted to dire predictions in the event of a Lula victory--the theme that dominated Cardoso's campaign in 1994, when he defeated Lula in the first round, 55% to 26% [see Update #245]. On June 5 Cardoso said that he represented stability, organization, progress, and added, I am an optimist. Brazil will never go for chaos, echoing rightwing deputy Antonio Carlos Magalhaes, who had said a Lula victory would represent chaos for the country.